가계·기업 빚, GDP의 2.26배 또 '최대'…한은 '더 커질 가능성' :: 잡뉴스메이커 JOBNEWSMAKER-공공,일반기업의 경력직 채용 및 전직(이직)자 꿈과 미래직업에 대한 희망과 비전을 제시-(주)솔로몬서치

가계·기업 빚, GDP의 2.26배 또 '최대'…한은 "더 커질 가능성": 2023.09.26 13:45 입력

신호경 기자 shk999@yna.co.kr

<div class="tit-sub" style='margin: 0px 0px 51px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 14px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: inherit; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.16px; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; display: block; white-space: normal; position: relative; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><h2 class="tit" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.1; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 17px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">가계부채 비율 101.7%, 신흥국 평균의 2배…집값·대출 반등에 상승전환</span></h2><h2 class="tit" style="margin: 10px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.1; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 17px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">"금융불균형 커지면 소비·투자 위축…재확대 막는데 정책 집중해야"</span></h2></div><div class="comp-box photo-group" style='margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 0px 50px; width: 648px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: inherit; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.16px; clear: both; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; display: block; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><figure class="image-zone" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;" data-stat-code="mapping_photo" data-mapping-filename="C0A8CA3C00000156C45AB785000BEDF7_P2.jpeg"><div class="img-con" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 648px; text-align: center; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><span class="img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; overflow: hidden; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><img style="border: 0px currentColor; border-image: none; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; max-height: 500px; max-width: 648px;" alt="가계부채(CG)" src="https://img5.yna.co.kr/photo/cms/2016/08/26/01/C0A8CA3C00000156C45AB785000BEDF7_P4.jpeg"></span></div><figcaption class="desc-con" style="margin: 14px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><strong class="tit-cap" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">가계부채(CG)</span></strong><p class="txt-desc" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 300; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">[연합뉴스TV 캡처]</span></p></figcaption></figure></div><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">(서울=연합뉴스) 신호경 기자 = 올해 1분기 주춤했던 가계와 기업의 빚(신용)이 2분기 다시 늘어나면서 경제 규모(국내총생산)의 약 2.26배 수준까지 불었다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">더구나 한국은행은 지금부터라도 가계대출과 부동산 가격 등을 정책적으로 관리하지 않으면 이들 민간(가계+기업) 신용이 앞으로 더 불어나 소비·투자를 비롯한 전체 경제에 타격을 줄 수 있다고 경고했다.</span></p><div class="comp-box photo-group" style='margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 0px 50px; width: 648px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: inherit; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.16px; clear: both; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; display: block; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><figure class="image-zone" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;" data-stat-code="mapping_photo" data-mapping-filename="AKR20230926070400002_02_i_P2.jpg"><div class="img-con" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 648px; text-align: center; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><span class="img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; overflow: hidden; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><img style="border: 0px currentColor; border-image: none; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; max-height: 500px; max-width: 648px;" alt="민간신용 GDP대비 비율 추이 등" src="https://img8.yna.co.kr/etc/inner/KR/2023/09/26/AKR20230926070400002_02_i_P4.jpg"></span></div><figcaption class="desc-con" style="margin: 14px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><strong class="tit-cap" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">민간신용 GDP대비 비율 추이 등</span></strong><p class="txt-desc" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 300; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">[한국은행 제공.재판매 및 DB 금지]</span></p></figcaption></figure></div><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">◇ 민간신용 비율, 한 분기만에 반등…주택대출 증가 등 영향</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은이 26일 발표한 '금융안정 보고서'에 따르면 올해 2분기 말 명목 국내총생산(GDP) 대비 민간 신용(자금순환통계상 가계·기업 부채 합) 비율(추정치)은 225.7%로 집계됐다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">3개월 전 1분기 말(224.5%)보다 1.2%포인트(p) 높은 역대 최고 기록이다. 민간 신용 비율은 작년 4분기 225.6%에서 올해 1분기 224.5%로 떨어졌다가 한 분기 만에 다시 반등했다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">가계신용 비율(101.7%)의 경우 부동산 시장 회복 등에 따른 주택 관련 대출 증가의 영향으로 직전분기(101.5%)보다 0.2%p 높아졌고, 기업신용 비율(124.1%)도 1.1%p 상승했다.</span></p><div class="comp-box photo-group" style='margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 0px 50px; width: 648px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: inherit; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.16px; clear: both; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; display: block; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><figure class="image-zone" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;" data-stat-code="mapping_photo" data-mapping-filename="AKR20230926070400002_01_i_P2.jpg"><div class="img-con" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 648px; text-align: center; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><span class="img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; overflow: hidden; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><img style="border: 0px currentColor; border-image: none; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; max-height: 500px; max-width: 648px;" alt="금융불안지수·금융취약성지수 추이" src="https://img7.yna.co.kr/etc/inner/KR/2023/09/26/AKR20230926070400002_01_i_P4.jpg"></span></div><figcaption class="desc-con" style="margin: 14px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><strong class="tit-cap" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">금융불안지수·금융취약성지수 추이</span></strong><p class="txt-desc" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 300; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">[한국은행 제공.재판매 및 DB 금지]</span></p></figcaption></figure></div><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">◇ 부동산 가격상승 등에 금융 안전성·위험 지표들도 '꿈틀'</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">우리나라 금융의 안정성과 위험 정도를 나타내는 지표들도 조금씩 다시 오르는 추세다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">2분기 금융취약성지수(FVI)는 43.6으로 1분기(43.3)를 0.3p 웃돌았다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">이 지수는 중장기적 관점에서 금융불균형 상황과 금융기관 복원력을 종합적으로 반영한 지표로, 2021년 2분기(59.3)를 정점으로 계속 떨어지다가 올해 2분기 소폭이나마 상승했다. 2007년 1분기 이후 장기 평균(39.1)보다도 여전히 높다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">단기적 관점에서 금융안정에 영향을 미치는 실물·금융 지표를 바탕으로 산출된 금융불안지수(FSI) 역시 올해 8월 16.5로 7월(15.3)보다 1.2p 올랐다. '주의' 단계(8 이상)에는 변함이 없지만, 2개월 연속 오름세다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은은 보고서에서 "FVI는 최근 민간신용 증가세, 자산 가격 오름세 등의 영향으로 상승했다"며 "FSI도 대외부문의 영향으로 소폭 올랐다"고 설명했다.</span></p><div class="comp-box photo-group" style='margin: 0px auto; padding: 0px 0px 50px; width: 648px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: inherit; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.16px; clear: both; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; display: block; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><figure class="image-zone" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;" data-stat-code="mapping_photo" data-mapping-filename="AKR20230926070400002_03_i_P2.jpg"><div class="img-con" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 648px; text-align: center; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><span class="img" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.01em; overflow: hidden; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><img style="border: 0px currentColor; border-image: none; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-weight: 400; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; max-height: 500px; max-width: 648px;" alt="금융불균형 확대에 따른 GDP 하방 위험 추정 등" src="https://img9.yna.co.kr/etc/inner/KR/2023/09/26/AKR20230926070400002_03_i_P4.jpg"></span></div><figcaption class="desc-con" style="margin: 14px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 400; display: block; position: relative; font-stretch: inherit;"><strong class="tit-cap" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: 15px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 500; vertical-align: top; display: inline-block; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">금융불균형 확대에 따른 GDP 하방 위험 추정 등</span></strong><p class="txt-desc" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); line-height: inherit; letter-spacing: -0.5px; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 300; font-stretch: inherit;"><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 9pt;">[한국은행 제공.재판매 및 DB 금지]</span></p></figcaption></figure></div><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">◇ "대출규제 등 건전성정책 강화하고 주택시장 안정시켜야"</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">이처럼 최근 부동산 가격 상승과 가계대출 증가로 다시 커지는 금융불균형은 시급히 해결해야 할 문제로 지목됐다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은은 "금융불균형이 다시 확대되면 FVI가 높아질 것"이라며 "대내외 여건이 급변하면 위험회피 성향이 강해져 디레버리징(차입 상환·축소), 자산 가격 급락과 함께 소비와 투자 위축이 심해지고 GDP 하방 위험을 키울 수 있다"고 경고했다</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은에 따르면 우리나라 2분기 가계신용 비율(101.7%)은 선진국(1분기 말 73.4%)과 신흥국(48.4%) 평균을 크게 웃돌고, 기업신용 비율(101.5%)도 금융기관의 기업대출 확대와 코로나19 금융지원 등의 영향으로 외환위기(113.6%)나 글로벌 금융위기(99.6%) 당시 수준을 넘어섰다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">특히 가계부채 비율의 경우 앞으로 주택가격 상승 폭이나 대출금리 수준 등에 따라 더 오를 가능성이 있다는 게 한은의 분석이다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은은 "향후 3년간 가계부채는 정책 대응이 없다면 해마다 4∼6% 정도 증가할 가능성이 있다"며 "명목GDP 성장률이 연간 4% 수준이라고 가정할 경우, 명목GDP 대비 가계부채 비율은 내년부터 재상승할 가능성도 배제할 수 없다"고 밝혔다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">가계대출 증가 등 상승 요인(분자)과 하반기 경기회복 등 하락 요인(부모)이 복합적으로 작용하면 당분간 하락세가 나타날 수도 있지만, 내년에는 주택가격·금리 변수별 시나리오에 따라 100∼103%까지 다시 오를 수도 있다는 설명이다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">한은은 "당분간 대출 증가세를 적절히 관리함으로써 가계신용 비율을 하향 안정화하는 등 향후 금융불균형 확대 흐름을 완화하는 데 정책적 노력을 집중해야 한다"고 강조했다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">세부적으로는 "특례보금자리론 등 정책 모기지(담보대출)의 공급 속도 조절에 이어 장기 주택담보대출, 인터넷은행 대출 등 최근 크게 늘어난 부문을 중점적으로 점검할 필요가 있다"며 "중장기적으로는 차주 단위의 총부채원리금상환비율(DSR) 규제를 정착시키고 경기대응 완충자본 부과와 함께 거시건전성 정책 기조를 강화해야 한다"고 조언했다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'><span style="font-family: 굴림체,gulimche; font-size: 10pt;">아울러 한은은 주택시장 안정화를 위한 주택 공급 관리, 분할상환 대출 비중 확대 등도 주문했다.</span></p><p style='margin: 0px 0px 16px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); text-transform: none; line-height: 1.7; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: -0.01em; font-family: "Spoqa Han Sans Neo", "Malgun Gothic", "맑은 고딕", Gulim, 굴림, AppleSDGothicNeo-Regular, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; widows: 2; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;'> </p><p align="right" style="text-align: right;">| 저작권자 ⓒ  연합뉴스(<a href="http://www.yonhapnews.co.kr">http://www.yonhapnews.co.kr</a>) | 무단전재 및 재배포금지 | </p>

신호경 기자기자의 다른기사 보기